1- DJT finally realized that Russians can go it on their own no matter what he wants, says, or does. In his career, he has experienced defeat and victory. He has never before experienced irrelevance. Outcomes of this existential jolt are unimaginable but inevitable and hidden, for now, behind multiple indeterminacies.
2- Iran, finally, has accepted at least de facto military alliance with Russia. There is high probability it will become de jure not long from now. The Iranian pro-Western urban intelligentsia -- so-called moderate Iranians -- lost credibility in consequence of unremitting Zionist savagery.
3- Things have really flipped around very quickly. Our POTUS for the first time in his life has experienced the feeling of irrelevance. Victory and defeat he knows. Irrelevance makes him, as he says, unhappy.
He is man enough to admit that. No narcissist could admit to having such an experience.
By flipped around I use a nautical metaphor meaning, wind direction has shifted (backed around) bringing with that shift necessity for a set of nautical skills different from those presently in use. The rig settings have to be changed to accommodate the new wind direction before it capsizes the ship or boat.
The GAO original on which Mr. Martyanov elaborates is here.
Our elites talk of winning on the battlefield without specifying the battlefield or organizing the US budget to comport with COFMs required by a battlefield, whatever it is. Most US Americans assume the US always will win on the battlefield and also assume that, somehow, that win will happen at little or no diminishment of themselves personally.
It appears to me that, today, SVR is the only large-nation foreign intelligence service acting like one. The rest -- CIA, MI6, and their French, German, and Italian counterparts -- act like national governments self-installed for SPECTER-type operations: Special Executive for Counter-Intelligence, Terrorism, Extortion, and Revenge. Did Fleming intend this outcome? Did Orwell intend 1984 as a How To Manual? The outcomes suggest that they did, just as the outcomes of Solzhenitsyn’s labors suggest that he intended to deconstruct not only the truth generally but Christianity altogether.
Our Elites Couldn’t ‘Reset’ a Wall Outlet, Let Alone the Global Economy
The West Starts to Understand Its Inability to Inflict Strategic Defeat on Russia - Lavrov
Findings on an Illegal War that the West Enthusiastically Waged and Lost
The Russian Foreign Ministry sees no reason to resume the New START Treaty in full format
Moscow. July 2. INTERFAX.RU - Moscow does not yet see grounds for a full-scale resumption of the Treaty on Strategic and Offensive Arms (START), Russian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Maria Zakharova said on Wednesday.
"There are no grounds for a full-scale resumption of the New START Treaty in the current conditions. Russia has repeatedly outlined the prerequisites for a possible restart of the treaty process," she said at a briefing.
"The key obstacle remains the current state of bilateral Russian-American relations that need to be corrected. And, of course, Washington needs to return to practical compliance with the fundamental principles of the New START Treaty: indivisibility of security, equal and mutually beneficial interaction, recognition of the inextricable relationship between strategic offensive and defensive weapons," she said.
Zakharova stressed: "As for the new document on this matter, Russian approaches will be adjusted in accordance with a comprehensive analysis of the evolution of the situation in the field of international security and strategic stability. I don't see the point in getting ahead of myself."
Meanwhile, searching for ways to get out of this movie, Brother Musk floats the idea of an America Party. He's late to the party. Many for long have noted the D-R UniParty behind both obvious and non-obvious diminishments of The USofA.
During the past decade, I ran down the idea and discovered, along with concepts for implementation and operation, the name The All American Party.
This name derives from the Motto of the US 82nd ABD, known among aficionados as the world's biggest street gang.
DOD generally are sunk in feeling of existential irrelevance. Emotions which orbit and smash into that feeling are many and, for one so sunk, unavoidable. Ditto USG. This phenomenology passes not this side of the confessional. We shall see who is a man or a women and who is not.
Today, one cannot lose a war and merely carry on as if nothing happened. Communications are too pervasive for anyone to get away with that. If you're going to strike, the actual probabilities that you will win had better be better than 80%. Today, if you've calculated and planned for desired or imagined probabilities -- or are content to strike with less than 80% actual probability of success -- everyone on the globe sees in near-real-time when and where your strike fails. Then they mark you for whatever they want of or from you. OTOH, if you strike and win, everyone on the globe, seeing your success in near-real-time, accords you respect and makes a mental note not to give you grief so long as you respect their sovereignty.