Escobar's Grand Strategic Assessment
From Power Projection To Comm Lines
For those who have not already digested it, I invite attention to Escobar's How Yemen Changed Everything.
Grand strategic assessment: comm lines now outrank naval-air capabilities as assets of national power preservation and expansion. The Heartland comes into Her own metier.
When a $50-100k-worth salvo of unmanned munitions can kill $5B-worth of aircraft carrier and her security detail, and reply to just one such munition costs $2M, the which is not soon or easily replaced, carrier strike groups on the high seas, and especially on patrol at choke points, are a positive strategic, economic, morale, and political liability for nations operating them.
Russians figured this out decades ago, have not wasted money on that munitions platform. Instead they build subs, including many diesels, and frigates and littoral combatants for various missions of homeland defense. Their math formulae for, e.g.,
composite index of national capability,
resolution of uncertainties,
lines of communication and supply,
required force,
correlates of war,
balance of forces, ratio of forces,
correlation of forces and means (COFM),
C4ISR linked to massed hard data in correlates of war,
scale, scale, scale,
strategic running estimates,
strategic comms,
sequential consecutive operations,
economy of force,
combat effectiveness,
escalation dominance,
operational initiative,1
flexible, strategic, maneuver, and active defense postures,
ability of a strategic maneuver by force,
Markov chains,
operational capacity / volume of the theatre,
salvo models, embellished salvo models,
search, search geometries,
anti-submarine warfare,
suppression of enemy air defense,
air defense,
electronic warfare,
sensor fusion,
probability analysis,
signal processing,
cooperative engagement capability,
synergy by net-centricity,
net-centric warfare,
integration of weapons systems,
etc.,2
gave them those priorities. Syria and the SMO proved the values entered into the variables of the formulae accurate.
By contrast, variables and formulae used for US war-gaming comprise wish-lists of ideological origin, not data-sets, and all directed at expanding US global hegemony. No real facts at all, just economic-political intentionalities unhinged from reality.
In Russia, unsurprisingly, the principles of the military art of the Soviet forces inspired those currently in use:
readiness to carry out assigned missions;
concentration of efforts on solving a specific mission;
surprise (unconventionality) of military action vis-à-vis the enemy;
finality determines a set of tasks and the level of resolution of each one;
totality of available means determines the way to resolve the mission and achieve the objective (correlation of forces);
coherence of leadership (unity of command);
economy of forces, resources, time and space;
support and restoration of combat capability;
freedom of maneuver.
It should be noted that these principles apply not only to the implementation of military action as such. They are also applicable as a system of thought to other non-operational activities.
And now for something completely different . . . .
They Mark Brighter Than The Rest
In Russian, use a translating browser such as Safari.
"With a light steam!"
The most unusual and
beautiful baths in Russia
In Russian, use a translating browser such as Safari.
A set of created conditions, situation and objective circumstances that make it possible to impose one’s will on the enemy during an ongoing operation for a certain time in the corresponding direction. The side that has seized the initiative has the freedom to choose methods of action, directions and timing of strikes, and can solve assigned tasks in favorable conditions, while the other side is limited in its actions. Seizing and maintaining operational initiative is one of the most important factors in achieving success in operations. It is achieved by delivering preemptive strikes, surprise actions, more decisive, daring and active use of one’s troops (naval forces) and assets, gaining fire superiority, air and sea supremacy, and constraining enemy actions.
Russians will not allow US Neo-Fascists freely to roam the seas.
Competition is wasteful. Cooperation conserves resources.
Acting out of ignorance of Russia accounts for the failures US Neo-Fascists take for their pogrom against Russia, to strategically defeat Russia. Russians think this is hilarious.
Russia is a Sovereign Democracy having Sovereign Security, who disallows foreign control capitalism. Russia is an original civilization-state.